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Carry the risk you can see even before you can price it

Contra-charges threatened, defects that might be argued, a variation the client is disputing: these are exposures the forecast should acknowledge the month they appear, not the month they crystallise. Hold them as a named risk line with your honest assessment of the likely landing, and update it as the position clarifies. A forecast that hides the arguments still to come overstates the destination.

Updated: 22 August 2026